Metabolic and Orexin-A Responses to Ketogenic Diet and Intermittent Fasting: A 12-Month Randomized Trial in Adults with Obesity.

Antonietta Monda, Maria Casillo, Salvatore Allocca, Fiorenzo Moscatelli, Marco La Marra, Vincenzo Monda, Girolamo Di Maio, Paride Vasco, Marcellino Monda, Rita Polito, Giovanni Messina, Antonietta Messina

Journal: Nutrients 2026;18(2):

PMID: 41599851

Abstract

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Intermittent fasting and ketogenic dietary approaches are increasingly investigated for their potential metabolic benefits in obesity. However, their long-term neuroendocrine effects-particularly those involving Orexin-A, a peptide implicated in energy regulation-remain poorly understood. The objective of this study was to compare the long-term metabolic, inflammatory, and orexinergic responses to different dietary strategies in adults with obesity.

METHODS

In this 12-month randomized, three-arm trial, 30 adults with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to a hypocaloric ketogenic diet (KD), a 16:8 time-restricted eating regimen (TRF16:8), or a 5:2 intermittent fasting protocol (ADF5:2). Anthropometric parameters, body composition, fasting glucose, lipid profile, inflammatory cytokines (CRP, IL-6, TNF-α, IL-10), and plasma Orexin-A levels were assessed at baseline and every 3 months. Dietary adherence was monitored through structured logs and monthly assessments. Statistical analyses included repeated-measures models with sensitivity analyses adjusted for age and sex.

RESULTS

All participants completed the intervention. The ketogenic diet produced the largest sustained reductions in BMI, fat mass, fasting glucose, and total cholesterol over 12 months. TRF16:8 elicited more rapid early metabolic improvements and showed the most consistent longitudinal increase in Orexin-A levels. The ADF5:2 protocol resulted in moderate improvements across outcomes. In all groups, increases in Orexin-A were associated with markers of improved metabolic flexibility and reduced inflammation; however, mediation analyses were exploratory and non-causal. Between-group differences remained significant for fat mass, glucose, and Orexin-A trajectories after correction for multiple comparisons.

CONCLUSIONS

The ketogenic diet was associated with the most pronounced long-term metabolic improvements, whereas 16:8 time-restricted eating yielded faster early responses and the most stable enhancement in Orexin-A levels. These findings indicate distinct metabolic and neuroendocrine adaptation profiles across dietary strategies. Given the small sample size, results should be interpreted cautiously, and larger trials are warranted to clarify the role of Orexin-A as a potential biomarker of dietary response in obesity.

Address: Department of Human Science and Quality of Life Promotion, San Raffaele Telematic University, 00166 Rome, Italy.; Section of Human Physiology, Unit of Dietetics and Sports Medicine, Department of Experimental Medicine, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", 80138 Naples, Italy.; Department of Education and Sport Sciences, Pegaso Telematic University, 80143 Naples, Italy.; Department of Economics, Law, Cybersecurity, and Sports Sciences, University of Naples "Parthenope", 80131 Naples, Italy.; Department of Psychology and Health Sciences, Pegaso Telematic University, 80143 Naples, Italy.; Department of Humanities, University of Foggia, 71100 Foggia, Italy.; Department of Precision Medicine, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", 80138 Naples, Italy.
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