A meta-analytic reassessment of the vicious cycle of psychopathology and stressful life events: Commentary on Rnic et al. (2023).

Rnic et al. (2023) conducted a comprehensive multilevel meta-analysis examining the stress generation hypothesis across various forms of psychopathology. They utilized the bivariate correlation between psychopathology at Time 1 and stress at Time 2 to estimate effect sizes. To address potential confounding from baseline stress assessments, we reanalyzed the data by (a) using the cross-lagged association in a multilevel meta-analysis to examine longitudinal links between Time 1 psychopathology and Time 2 stress and (b) incorporating Time 1 stress as a control variable in a meta-analytic structural equation model. Based on a subset of Rnic et al.'s original data set (33 studies with 18,684 participants and 126 effect sizes), our findings revealed cross-lagged associations of = .12 for the predictive effect of baseline psychopathology, especially internalizing psychopathology, on subsequent dependent stress and = .06 for independent stress. These effects were homogeneous across diverse samples, measures, and contexts. Moreover, even after controlling for Time 1 stress, dependent stress continued to mediate the relationship between baseline psychopathology and subsequent symptoms, whereas independent stress did not mediate, underscoring the role of dependent stress in perpetuating the cycle of stress and psychopathology. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).